Active Users:753 Time:23/12/2024 03:37:39 PM
Most likely, but Tom is almost certainly right the economy will tell the tale. Joel Send a noteboard - 29/02/2012 10:12:28 AM
Romney can't count on outspending Obama, and the Base that is in the process of nominating him is ambivalent towards him at best. We saw this before with John Kerry... simple hatred of an incumbent (like the left hated W.) is not enough to get a weak tea candidate elected.

A major hit to Obamas credibility/popularity could, too, though, and he came close with that idiotic needless contraceptive showdown. I know Obama Nation has convinced themselves that was a savvy PR coup, but it was really no more than Obama blowing the GOPs "Islamic terrorist sleeper cell" dog whistle for them.

It is a LOT like '04, but Obama has not shown he has the balls to swiftboat Romney like Bush did Kerry. The economy was a lot stronger then, too, (as horrifying as it is to say that, it is actually true.) Obama cannot get re-elected with "it is STILL all Bushs fault," and blaming Congress is also a lot more difficult since Romney has never been in Congress. Even if it works, he can just say, "yeah, Congress sucks; where was your last job again...?"

Meanwhile, moneybombing still works; despite advocating we drive the Big Three over a cliff and trailing Santorum by as much as 15 points in one poll last week (though I think we all knew that was an outlier,) Romney beat Santorum by just over 3 points yesterday, and CRUSHED him by 20 in AZ (he nearly won a majority; go, go, Gadget-Mormonism.) He picked up 40 delegates, Santorum got 11 and no one else got any; Romney officially has 27 more pledged delegates than everyone else combined (and as the only other moderate or Mormon candidate, let alone both, it is more like 31 more, because he will ultimately get Huntsmans, too.)

It is officially over, but many people will not admit that for another week, and apparently Gingrich and Paul will not admit it even then. Maybe Paul thinks if he sucks up to Romney for the whole primary and picks off his far right challengers one by one he can get a VP spot out of it when Romney needs to shore up his far right credentials after nomination (because that worked sooo well for McCain.) If so, that just goes to show Ron Paul really IS insane.
Honorbound and honored to be Bonded to Mahtaliel Sedai
Last First in wotmania Chat
Slightly better than chocolate.

Love still can't be coerced.
Please Don't Eat the Newbies!

LoL. Be well, RAFOlk.
MI and AZ results and delegate counts.
This message last edited by Joel on 29/02/2012 at 10:14:10 AM
Reply to message
Why Romney Is (Still) the Only Republican Presidential Candidate. - 27/02/2012 02:07:18 PM 1157 Views
Why do you go to so much effort to state the obvious? *NM* - 27/02/2012 05:10:14 PM 182 Views
Because many people still have the idea it is not obvious. - 27/02/2012 06:42:00 PM 431 Views
But he's not - 03/03/2012 12:23:45 AM 466 Views
So, four more years then? - 29/02/2012 06:36:03 AM 457 Views
Most likely, but Tom is almost certainly right the economy will tell the tale. - 29/02/2012 10:12:28 AM 538 Views
Yup. *NM* - 01/03/2012 01:40:46 AM 175 Views
Most likely he is the nominee, but - 03/03/2012 12:18:23 AM 449 Views
Unless he comes out as a wife swapper or something, he is unstoppable. - 03/03/2012 01:28:09 AM 510 Views
He isn't unstoppable - 03/03/2012 10:01:51 PM 524 Views

Reply to Message