Most likely, but Tom is almost certainly right the economy will tell the tale.
Joel Send a noteboard - 29/02/2012 10:12:28 AM
Romney can't count on outspending Obama, and the Base that is in the process of nominating him is ambivalent towards him at best. We saw this before with John Kerry... simple hatred of an incumbent (like the left hated W.) is not enough to get a weak tea candidate elected.
A major hit to Obamas credibility/popularity could, too, though, and he came close with that idiotic needless contraceptive showdown. I know Obama Nation has convinced themselves that was a savvy PR coup, but it was really no more than Obama blowing the GOPs "Islamic terrorist sleeper cell" dog whistle for them.
It is a LOT like '04, but Obama has not shown he has the balls to swiftboat Romney like Bush did Kerry. The economy was a lot stronger then, too, (as horrifying as it is to say that, it is actually true.) Obama cannot get re-elected with "it is STILL all Bushs fault," and blaming Congress is also a lot more difficult since Romney has never been in Congress. Even if it works, he can just say, "yeah, Congress sucks; where was your last job again...?"
Meanwhile, moneybombing still works; despite advocating we drive the Big Three over a cliff and trailing Santorum by as much as 15 points in one poll last week (though I think we all knew that was an outlier,) Romney beat Santorum by just over 3 points yesterday, and CRUSHED him by 20 in AZ (he nearly won a majority; go, go, Gadget-Mormonism.) He picked up 40 delegates, Santorum got 11 and no one else got any; Romney officially has 27 more pledged delegates than everyone else combined (and as the only other moderate or Mormon candidate, let alone both, it is more like 31 more, because he will ultimately get Huntsmans, too.)
It is officially over, but many people will not admit that for another week, and apparently Gingrich and Paul will not admit it even then. Maybe Paul thinks if he sucks up to Romney for the whole primary and picks off his far right challengers one by one he can get a VP spot out of it when Romney needs to shore up his far right credentials after nomination (because that worked sooo well for McCain.) If so, that just goes to show Ron Paul really IS insane.
Honorbound and honored to be Bonded to Mahtaliel Sedai
Last First in wotmania Chat
Slightly better than chocolate.
Love still can't be coerced.
Please Don't Eat the Newbies!
LoL. Be well, RAFOlk.
Last First in wotmania Chat
Slightly better than chocolate.
Love still can't be coerced.
Please Don't Eat the Newbies!
LoL. Be well, RAFOlk.
This message last edited by Joel on 29/02/2012 at 10:14:10 AM
Why Romney Is (Still) the Only Republican Presidential Candidate.
27/02/2012 02:07:18 PM
- 1143 Views
also, do we really want president "ass juice" running this country? *NM*
27/02/2012 03:06:06 PM
- 238 Views
Oh, I am not worried about that; Romney is also the only potential nominee who can be elected.
27/02/2012 04:12:35 PM
- 469 Views
Didn't you notice? We have approximately 16-20 years more of that?
05/03/2012 04:46:32 PM
- 492 Views
it was more of a comment on the alternate meaning of santorum not a political statement *NM*
06/03/2012 02:59:04 AM
- 201 Views
Why do you go to so much effort to state the obvious? *NM*
27/02/2012 05:10:14 PM
- 175 Views
Because many people still have the idea it is not obvious.
27/02/2012 06:42:00 PM
- 416 Views
But he's not
03/03/2012 12:23:45 AM
- 445 Views
All road maps for Santorum (or anyone) go through the GOP leadership.
03/03/2012 01:01:07 AM
- 495 Views
So, four more years then?
29/02/2012 06:36:03 AM
- 441 Views
Most likely, but Tom is almost certainly right the economy will tell the tale.
29/02/2012 10:12:28 AM
- 519 Views
Most likely he is the nominee, but
03/03/2012 12:18:23 AM
- 430 Views
Unless he comes out as a wife swapper or something, he is unstoppable.
03/03/2012 01:28:09 AM
- 493 Views
He isn't unstoppable
03/03/2012 10:01:51 PM
- 508 Views
Statistically, yes; realistically, the primary, and Romneys opponents, are all finished.
04/03/2012 12:09:48 AM
- 488 Views
If the election were held now
04/03/2012 08:17:34 AM
- 461 Views
The primary certainly helped Obamas chances, as do marginally better economic numbers.
04/03/2012 06:02:25 PM
- 427 Views