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Idiocy. Confirmation bias doesn't explain away external phenomena. Tom Send a noteboard - 20/12/2011 04:19:10 AM
If I made predictions all the time, confirmation bias might have a role to play. However, in the 3 years I've been on Facebook I've only made one statement like this one, and by searching the full history of my Wall I can prove it.

Furthermore, in my lifetime I've only had a limited number of dreams that I have woken from with the understanding that the dream had meaning and was predictive. I have written them all down and they have come true within a short space of time or have repeated several times and then come true within a short period of time after the last instance. In no case has it been more than 6 months (in the case of repeated dreams).

Confirmation bias has nothing to do with any of it.
Political correctness is the pettiest form of casuistry.

ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius

Ummaka qinnassa nīk!

*MySmiley*
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Kim Jong-il is dead. Would you become a fervent believer? Tom - 19/12/2011 03:37:28 AM 1532 Views
If I was a Christian, I'd pray that he would burn forever in hell. Great Lord of Chaos - 19/12/2011 03:47:52 AM 941 Views
See, I can't be an atheist. Tom - 19/12/2011 03:53:55 AM 909 Views
I agree about atheism LadyLorraine - 19/12/2011 04:19:02 AM 771 Views
It's an approximation. Vivien - 19/12/2011 05:40:05 PM 792 Views
no, I'm not saying that the sheer number of people alone is sufficient LadyLorraine - 19/12/2011 10:13:09 PM 675 Views
Re: See, I can't be an atheist. Great Lord of Chaos - 19/12/2011 04:25:06 AM 765 Views
No, Pascal's Wager is stupid. Tim - 19/12/2011 03:09:42 PM 774 Views
You obviously misread my comments or ignored them. Tom - 19/12/2011 03:39:59 PM 762 Views
You're answering a different point to the one I was addressing. Tim - 19/12/2011 04:01:54 PM 693 Views
For atheism to be a tenable position, one must assume that millions lie about their experiences. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:11:53 AM 784 Views
Look, doesn't this go against your most sacred principle? jh - 20/12/2011 06:43:27 AM 747 Views
I'm pretty sure he's not saying it's undeniable proof. LadyLorraine - 20/12/2011 09:19:44 AM 709 Views
No, it doesn't. Tom - 20/12/2011 08:30:55 PM 673 Views
Re: No, it doesn't. jh - 20/12/2011 09:21:22 PM 717 Views
This militant atheism is somewhat amusing. Tom - 20/12/2011 09:48:57 PM 735 Views
... somewhat irrational at times too Isaac - 21/12/2011 01:22:54 AM 649 Views
Huh? snoopcester - 21/12/2011 10:47:06 AM 694 Views
That's somewhat unrelated to the intended point of the post Isaac - 21/12/2011 12:41:49 PM 701 Views
My "Huh?" was at your claim that any reasonable definition Kim Jong-il was a millitant athiest snoopcester - 21/12/2011 12:58:44 PM 696 Views
You're objecting to me calling the Military Dictator militant? Isaac - 21/12/2011 03:13:35 PM 733 Views
Is that the long way of saying you can't back up what you said? snoopcester - 21/12/2011 04:06:06 PM 660 Views
Okay Isaac - 21/12/2011 05:03:07 PM 759 Views
Your position isn't rational nor logical Helene - 20/12/2011 12:45:03 PM 722 Views
I never stated it was either. That's the problem with spiritual matters. Tom - 20/12/2011 08:43:46 PM 649 Views
How about a faith atheist? Palatine - 19/12/2011 04:28:59 PM 842 Views
Nevermind. It appears you answered that in your reply to Tim. *NM* Palatine - 19/12/2011 04:32:19 PM 410 Views
Re: See, I can't be an atheist. snoopcester - 19/12/2011 04:57:23 PM 797 Views
It's impossible to tell if worshipping a false god would be worse than worshipping no god at all. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:14:59 AM 607 Views
Sounds like you must be a modern-day prophet beetnemesis - 19/12/2011 05:24:24 PM 642 Views
Well, it's *possible* that he is. Vivien - 19/12/2011 05:49:34 PM 742 Views
Hah, fair enough beetnemesis - 19/12/2011 06:47:07 PM 691 Views
Idiocy. Confirmation bias doesn't explain away external phenomena. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:19:10 AM 772 Views
Well. Sareitha Sedai - 21/12/2011 01:49:36 PM 681 Views
I didn't forget about it. I was getting ready to give up on it. Tom - 21/12/2011 02:27:18 PM 674 Views
That doesn't really make sense. Sareitha Sedai - 21/12/2011 03:04:23 PM 574 Views
No, it does make perfect sense. Tom - 21/12/2011 06:17:02 PM 711 Views
Also, learn to use the subjunctive. It's "if I WERE a Christian..." Tom - 19/12/2011 03:54:20 AM 762 Views
The sad thing about that comment... Larry - 19/12/2011 04:52:57 AM 888 Views
I'm pretty sure there's plenty of middle ground between those two examples LadyLorraine - 19/12/2011 05:31:13 PM 659 Views
Tom is right. Agnosticism is really the only rational posistion. Urza - 20/12/2011 04:17:08 AM 647 Views
Tom, I think this means you should take up ForEx trading. *NM* Urza - 19/12/2011 04:00:20 AM 360 Views
I might. I'm close enough to it as is. I just did some ForEx ISDAs for clients... Tom - 19/12/2011 04:03:11 AM 825 Views
I really am gonna miss Hitchens...a lot *NM* *NM* Roland00 - 19/12/2011 04:06:50 AM 355 Views
I will miss him, too...a lot. *NM* Tom - 19/12/2011 04:17:05 AM 338 Views
so, hypothetically...if I was to send you a list of people... LadyLorraine - 19/12/2011 04:25:47 AM 717 Views
Let's not try that. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:21:35 AM 677 Views
I'm so ronery 김정일 - 19/12/2011 06:36:38 AM 763 Views
I thought you were asking if I believed in KJ-I, the Eternal Leader Praziquantel - 19/12/2011 06:55:08 AM 663 Views
The article I just read said he died on Saturday. Rebekah - 19/12/2011 08:58:17 AM 741 Views
Yeah, he actually died on a train Saturday morning before Tom made the comment. *NM* TaskmasterJack - 19/12/2011 09:13:44 PM 302 Views
I'm not claiming causality. And, for the record, I first made the comment on Friday afternoon. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:25:07 AM 735 Views
You know what's really weird? Isaac - 19/12/2011 11:32:23 AM 736 Views
It has been there for 6 hours at this stage. Stephen - 19/12/2011 12:34:57 PM 807 Views
don't forget Mugabe (sp) Yunalesca - 19/12/2011 01:06:24 PM 641 Views
Zimbabwe basically is dust by now. *NM* Tim - 19/12/2011 02:52:51 PM 336 Views
They took it down, apparently. *NM* Tom - 20/12/2011 04:40:24 AM 318 Views
Not surprising, still in the revisions if anyone wants to see of course Isaac - 20/12/2011 11:06:05 AM 880 Views
Turns out Kim Jong really was il? snoopcester - 19/12/2011 12:10:15 PM 691 Views
all praise Madokami! *NM* Yunalesca - 19/12/2011 01:03:26 PM 406 Views
He's not dead-dead. Neither is his father. Just ask the North Koreans. Palatine - 19/12/2011 04:23:48 PM 722 Views
Re: He's not dead-dead. Neither is his father. Just ask the North Koreans. TaskmasterJack - 19/12/2011 09:15:09 PM 641 Views
That happened to me too. Nate - 19/12/2011 09:45:48 PM 781 Views
Re: That happened to me too. TaskmasterJack - 19/12/2011 09:48:36 PM 643 Views
Re: Legend Palatine - 20/12/2011 04:54:40 PM 655 Views
I wonder if they're going to embalm him? Tom - 20/12/2011 04:39:33 AM 589 Views
The problem with predictions that come true Vivien - 19/12/2011 05:28:24 PM 760 Views
I don't make a lot of predictions. *NM* Tom - 19/12/2011 08:18:53 PM 455 Views
Well you should start at least journaling the ones that you do make. Vivien - 19/12/2011 08:40:18 PM 711 Views
I actually now do tell my friends when I have dreams that have the "feel" to them. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:36:07 AM 781 Views
Just ones about old, sick guys dying? *NM* Sareitha Sedai - 19/12/2011 09:51:12 PM 305 Views
No, sadly. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:31:44 AM 587 Views
I can attest to the fact that this conversation took place on Facebook Saturday. TaskmasterJack - 19/12/2011 09:19:06 PM 682 Views
Yeah, I thought that reply seemed in the wrong place Isaac - 19/12/2011 09:28:17 PM 680 Views
Re: Yeah, I thought that reply seemed in the wrong place TaskmasterJack - 19/12/2011 09:31:00 PM 669 Views
Yes, TMJ, you also contributed in this case. *NM* Tom - 20/12/2011 04:38:42 AM 307 Views
I am not a dog to be petted! TaskmasterJack - 21/12/2011 02:42:55 AM 652 Views
HAHAHAHA!!!! *NM* Tom - 21/12/2011 05:31:06 AM 393 Views
Coincidentally, I found this site today kHz1000 - 19/12/2011 10:57:36 PM 702 Views
Oh, I liked that site. I found it a few years ago. *NM* Tom - 20/12/2011 04:37:04 AM 306 Views
Jeez, I hope I never get on your bad side ironclad - 20/12/2011 12:06:54 AM 608 Views
Things did change for the better with Stalin's death. Vivien - 20/12/2011 02:51:12 AM 718 Views
Not for Stalin *NM* Tom - 20/12/2011 09:49:39 PM 369 Views
eh, you can't have everything Yunalesca - 20/12/2011 11:08:36 PM 605 Views
So I guess you want me to destroy the voodoo doll I have of you? Oh wait...never mind. *NM* Tom - 20/12/2011 04:37:35 AM 298 Views
Not to downplay your awesomely uncanny coincidence... Avendesora - 20/12/2011 01:19:33 PM 674 Views
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