I personally am considering voting for Romney , but I wouldnt underestimate Bachman and her power
Aisha Send a noteboard - 15/08/2011 04:58:19 PM
And i wouldnt underestimate Perry either, he has the whole evangelical thing going for him after that prayer rally. More than all of the Republicans i like John Huntsman the best, but his stance on civil unions got a pretty bad response in Iowa, I know you guys dont agree but I think the Mormon issues will be a bigger deal than you realize , just wait till the time gets closer.
She offers really almost nothing to either candidate. Conservatives will vote for either Romney or Perry in fanatic droves because they can't stomach the idea of four more years of Obama, and geographically she does nothing to help a national Republican campaign.
She is also too polarizing and would distract from the main candidate (cf. Palin). While a Bachmann VP slot might be an Obama staffer's dream and hope, the Republicans are unlikely to show that level of tactlessness a second time (and in all fairness, the first time it was McCain's tactlessness in particular, and he has always been tactless).
I also think that Romney is more likely to win, no matter what you say about Perry. Perry is too much of a George W. Bush clone, and Republicans realize they need a candidate who can win independents. Romney's experience in business and his toned-down nature make him the best and most appealing candidate. The Mormon issue is largely irrelevant in this election cycle since everyone has had four years to get used to it.
If Romney's smart, he'll pick someone from the south as a VP candidate and hammer Obama on Obama's indecision and failure. Unless the economy takes off like a rocket and unemployment drops precipitously, we may see a repeat of the 2004 election in terms of electoral votes. While I hope the economy takes off, for our sake, I also would like to see a 2004-type distribution of electoral votes.
She is also too polarizing and would distract from the main candidate (cf. Palin). While a Bachmann VP slot might be an Obama staffer's dream and hope, the Republicans are unlikely to show that level of tactlessness a second time (and in all fairness, the first time it was McCain's tactlessness in particular, and he has always been tactless).
I also think that Romney is more likely to win, no matter what you say about Perry. Perry is too much of a George W. Bush clone, and Republicans realize they need a candidate who can win independents. Romney's experience in business and his toned-down nature make him the best and most appealing candidate. The Mormon issue is largely irrelevant in this election cycle since everyone has had four years to get used to it.
If Romney's smart, he'll pick someone from the south as a VP candidate and hammer Obama on Obama's indecision and failure. Unless the economy takes off like a rocket and unemployment drops precipitously, we may see a repeat of the 2004 election in terms of electoral votes. While I hope the economy takes off, for our sake, I also would like to see a 2004-type distribution of electoral votes.
Aisha - formerly known as randschicka
Tim Pawlenty drops out of the race
14/08/2011 07:20:58 PM
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Bummer, I liked him. *NM*
14/08/2011 07:23:42 PM
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Yeah, him and Cain are the only ones I actually liked to hear talk
14/08/2011 07:38:08 PM
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Grumpy and just nuts enough to be entertaining, from what I've heard...
14/08/2011 08:15:15 PM
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Probably better to say he's not polished
14/08/2011 08:46:37 PM
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Yeah, as Aisha says, it's the Islam issue he sounded the craziest on...
14/08/2011 11:16:20 PM
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Re: Yeah, as Aisha says, it's the Islam issue he sounded the craziest on...
15/08/2011 12:02:22 AM
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well I don't think his posistion on Israel will play much of a factor one way or the other
15/08/2011 02:07:55 AM
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I've never really gotten to know him... which kind of says enough.
14/08/2011 07:35:40 PM
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I think Michelle Bachman and Herman Cain are awesome. You should consider them *NM*
14/08/2011 09:25:55 PM
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About fucking time. Now if we could just get Santorum to drop, too.
14/08/2011 09:28:53 PM
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He'd indicated he would
14/08/2011 11:47:03 PM
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Oh, I don't think Bachmann WILL be kingmaker, but that's her goal.
15/08/2011 02:39:51 PM
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bachman is gonna be the vice presidential nominee for either Perry or Romney
15/08/2011 04:22:33 AM
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funny that I only see liberals making an issue of his religion *NM*
15/08/2011 05:13:03 AM
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It's a clumsy attempt to poison the well
15/08/2011 05:59:26 AM
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Re: It's a clumsy attempt to poison the well
15/08/2011 07:13:01 AM
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Dems used to chase the evangelical vote, and the Church never should've permitted a political coup.
15/08/2011 09:22:53 AM
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For the record, I'm not trying to poison any wells.
15/08/2011 09:54:53 AM
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I think the deal with Huckabee
15/08/2011 07:21:08 PM
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Huckabee didn't hide his beliefs, but also made clear he wouldn't try to legislate them.
16/08/2011 12:58:48 PM
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yeah i guess it was s liberal Fox reporter/talking head/whatever the Eff they are called
15/08/2011 07:07:07 AM
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I'm not sure why she had to apologize for saying that.
15/08/2011 09:56:39 AM
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because its not true? Mormons ARE Christians arent they?
15/08/2011 04:52:32 PM
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Except their founder taught, and his church teaches, that man is his own savior.
15/08/2011 05:54:28 PM
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well ok then, i didnt know all that
15/08/2011 06:58:22 PM
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Precisely; every Mormon you ever meet will ALWAYS insist they're Christian.
16/08/2011 01:57:06 PM
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So nutcase liberals and one woman on Fox News and she had the decency to apologize *NM*
15/08/2011 02:04:44 PM
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I find that highly unlikely.
15/08/2011 02:47:35 PM
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I personally am considering voting for Romney , but I wouldnt underestimate Bachman and her power
15/08/2011 04:58:19 PM
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Also, it is very likely that Palin will not enter.....
14/08/2011 09:58:48 PM
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besides the fact that they both have west Texas accents what similarites?
15/08/2011 01:59:45 AM
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By the way, why did Kay B Hutch run against him in the primary election?
15/08/2011 03:43:52 AM
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Some did want to dump him, over the toll roads and mandatory HPV vaccines for school girls.
15/08/2011 03:58:38 AM
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you call losing by 15 points competing? *NM*
15/08/2011 04:07:08 AM
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It was 12.9%, which is pretty good for a Dem in a very red state during a very red year.
15/08/2011 04:26:58 AM
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Isn't that almost the exact same numbers Obama lost by in Texas?
15/08/2011 05:02:57 AM
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Roughly; are you going to pretend that 2010 was as good a year for Dems as 2008?
15/08/2011 05:34:32 AM
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there was a perception that he was vulnerable
15/08/2011 04:48:41 AM
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He was vulnerable, he only won in 06 with 39 percent of the vote *NM*
15/08/2011 01:14:43 PM
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I have to agree with the take that it's symptomatic of a larger problem.
14/08/2011 10:23:02 PM
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There's no "victory laurel" there. The Iowa straw poll is as irrelevant as lint in one's navel.
14/08/2011 11:13:36 PM
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Largely true; it matters to people like Bachmann who need credibility, but to few others.
15/08/2011 12:20:48 AM
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unnamed sources from left leaning news source? who could question that *NM*
15/08/2011 01:25:07 AM
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Just because you don't like the quote doesn't make the person citing it "left leaning".
15/08/2011 02:00:15 AM
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It was a quote from Politico which is a left leaning news blog and the sources were unnamed
15/08/2011 02:14:09 AM
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If you say so.
15/08/2011 03:53:08 AM
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so you are going to just ignore the fact that your entire argument is based on unnamed sources?
15/08/2011 05:12:01 AM
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I'm not surprised no Republican wants to go on the record with that.
15/08/2011 05:51:47 AM
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I'm kinda curious how this thread got controversial
15/08/2011 06:26:15 AM
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Probably because I opined my impression that most of the viable GOP field looks pretty unimpressive.
15/08/2011 09:11:45 AM
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I look at politics like I look at sports and call races on what I believe will happen
15/08/2011 02:47:35 PM
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Normally I'd say that's the best approach, but in US politics all teams play for the same owner.
15/08/2011 04:04:43 PM
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I am trying to keep it to just the facts and my opinion of the race
15/08/2011 02:49:47 PM
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Are we surprised by this?
15/08/2011 07:05:59 PM
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